Keeneland January Grad Reasoned Analysis Romps in Stakes Debut

Reasoned Analysis, owned by Seth Klarman’s Klaravich Stables and trained by Chad Brown, made his first attempt in stakes company a successful one as he stormed down the lane to upset a talented field in Saturday’s $150,000 Bay Shore, a seven-furlong sprint for sophomores, at Aqueduct Racetrack.

Bred by Jack Miller and the Upstart Syndicate, Reasoned Analysis was sold by Tommy and Wyndee Eastham’s Legacy Bloodstock for $100,000 at the 2022 Keeneland January Sale. He’s already the 6th Stakes-winning Legacy Bloodstock sales grad of 2024.

The last out winner of a one-mile maiden special weight race over this racing strip on February 25, Reasoned Analysis was competing against a field of more seasoned colts, but that proved no problem for the Kentucky-bred son of Upstart who improved his record to 4-2-0-0 with earnings of $82,500 in victory.

Ridden confidently by Eric Cancel, he stalked the fast pace of 22.78 seconds, 46.36 and 1:11.37 and then took full advantage when the speed collapsed in front of him. Racing seven-wide, Reasoned Analysis demonstrated a forceful closing kick through the lane to overtake Maximus Meridius, who had opened a four-lengths lead at the stretch call, to complete the seven furlongs in 1:24.35 over the fast main track.

Maximus Meridius rounded out the exacta beaten 3 1/4 lengths with Eliminate another 2 1/4 lengths back in third. Mission Beach, Augustine Red, Yo Yo Candy, Proprietary Trade, Ridgewood Runner, Classic Joke, and Shea D World completed the order of finish.

Cancel said he felt confident in his horse’s ability.

“I just wanted to leave my horse very comfortable. I knew what I had underneath me. I’ve been working him,” said Cancel. “I was just patient with him. I just wanted to get a clean trip, and I did. It worked out well. They left it up to me. I just wanted to keep him comfortable. The spot that I had was golden, so everything worked out well.”

Four-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer Chad Brown, who also sent out seventh-place finisher Proprietary Trade, said he was pleased with the effort from Reasoned Analysis.

“The horse ran super. My assistant, Dan Stupp, deserves a lot of credit. He was telling me how well this horse was training up there. It was a last-minute entry when it looked like there was going to be a lot of pace in the race. We threw him in there to complement the other one and it worked out,” Brown said. “Proprietary Trade never really looked comfortable when he couldn’t get to the lead, but Eric Cancel was patient and timed it just right to start his run. I’m really impressed with the horse, my team up in New York and Eric, who is 2-for-2 on this horse. Eric has a high percentage with us and is riding really well.”

Reasoned Analysis graduated from the maiden ranks at third asking last out on February 25 over an Aqueduct surface that Brown said may have worked in the colt’s favor.

“Maybe it did move him along condition wise. It was a good, solid race and he gut it out,” Brown said. “Eric said after that race not to be afraid to run him seven [furlongs] as he was at the end of his rope there.”

Brown said that he may keep the bay colt sprinting as he moves forward.

“He seems to have found his home here, going one turn and seven-eighths. I’m not saying I wouldn’t put him in a one-turn mile again – he won doing it – but he sure looked good at seven with pace in front of him,” said Brown.

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